收录期刊

    高级检索

    自然灾害深度调查评估研究及其在洪涝灾害中的应用

    Research on in-depth investigation and assessment of natural disaster and its application in flood disaster

    • 摘要: 气候变化背景下多灾种集聚和灾害链特征日益突出,我国当前以单一灾种为主导的自然灾害调查评估业务体系已难以适应这一挑战。围绕我国自然灾害特别是重大洪涝灾害调查评估业务发展需求,系统梳理了国内外现有单灾种调查评估技术系统和标准体系,在此基础上提出了灾害深度调查评估的总体框架,明确了将跨类灾害和灾害链生关系作为灾害深度调查评估的对象。基于河南郑州“7·20”特大暴雨灾害和海河“23·7”流域性特大洪水现场调查成果,运用提出的深度调查评估概念框架,通过构建网络拓扑结构,识别了不同灾害场景下跨类灾害及灾害链关系,辨识了关键承灾体和隐患在灾害传导网络中的作用,可为灾害链研究提供新的视角,为以流域性洪水为代表的大尺度区域自然灾害调查评估提供可借鉴的参考依据。

       

      Abstract: Under the backdrop of climate change, the clustering of multiple hazards and the characteristics of disaster chains have become increasingly prominent. The current natural disaster investigation and assessment business system in China, which is dominated by a single disaster type, is no longer able to adapt to this challenge. Based on the development needs of investigation and assessment of natural disasters, especially major floods disasters in China, a systematic review of existing single disaster investigation and assessment technology systems and standard systems at home and abroad has been conducted. On this basis, it proposes a comprehensive framework for in-depth disaster investigation and assessment, clearly identifying cross-category disasters and the sequential relationships within disaster chains as the core objects of such assessments. Drawing upon field investigation data from the"7·20"extreme rainstorm disaster in Zhengzhou, Henan Province, and the"23·7"basin-wide extreme flood event in the Haihe River, the proposed conceptual framework of in-depth investigation and assessment was used to identify cross category disasters and disaster chain relationships under different disaster scenarios by constructing network topology, and the role of key disaster carriers and hidden dangers in the disaster transmission network was identified, which can provide a new perspective for disaster chain research and provide a reference basis for the investigation and assessment of large-scale regional natural disasters represented by watershed floods.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回