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    黑龙江五大连池东风村“7·12”暴雨山洪灾害分析

    Analysis and study of "7 · 12" flash flood disaster in Dongfeng Village, Wudalianchi City, Heilongjiang Province

    • 摘要: 2022年7月12日傍晚,黑龙江五大连池东风村突降暴雨,7月12日18—19时1 h降雨量超90 mm,引发局地突发性山洪灾害,对当地居民生命及财产造成了严重损害。基于灾后调查成果,提出经验公式法与分布式水文模拟相结合的山洪灾害快速复盘策略,通过对此次灾害的发生、发展、应对过程的科学分析,揭示灾害形成机理、判定灾害量级。通过分布式水文模拟,此次山洪灾害洪峰流量达579.47 m3/s,约为东风村断面100年一遇设计洪峰流量(58 m3/s)的10倍,远超该村现状防洪能力。经调查分析与综合研判,此次山洪灾害主要由强降雨与大比降河道地形综合作用形成;同时,该区域上游暴雨区缺少监测预警站点也是造成此次灾害未能及时精准预警的主要原因之一。研究结果可为该地区未来山洪防御提供科学建议。

       

      Abstract: In the evening of July 12, 2022, rainstorm suddenly fell in Dongfeng Village, Wudalianchi City, Heilongjiang Province. The rainfall exceeded 90 mm at 18:19 on July 12, causing local flash flood disaster, which caused serious damage to the lives and properties of local residents. Based on the results of post disaster investigation, a rapid recovery strategy for flash flood disasters is proposed by combining empirical formula method and distributed hydrological simulation. Through scientific analysis of the occurrence, development and response process of this disaster, the formation mechanism of the disaster is revealed and the disaster magnitude is determined. Through distributed hydrological simulation, the peak flow rate of this flash flood disasterreached 579.47 m3/s, which is about 10 times the design peak flow rate (58 m3/s) of Dongfeng Village section with a 100 year return period, far exceeding the current flood control capacity of the village. After investigation, analysis, and comprehensive analysis, it has been determined that the flash flood disaster was mainly caused by the combined effects of heavy rainfall and large-scale river topography; At the same time, the lack of monitoring and early warning stations in the upstream rainstorm area of the region is also one of the main reasons for the failure of timely and accurate early warning of the disaster. The research results can provide scientific recommendations for future flash flood prevention in the region.

       

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