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    王旭东, 周全保, 张惠茹, 程彬彬. 基于LSTM算法的山西省岚河流域洪水预报误差校正研究[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2025, 35(8): 73-76. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2024463
    引用本文: 王旭东, 周全保, 张惠茹, 程彬彬. 基于LSTM算法的山西省岚河流域洪水预报误差校正研究[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2025, 35(8): 73-76. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2024463
    WANG Xudong, ZHOU Quanbao, ZHANG Huiru, CHENG Binbin. Research on error correction of flood forecasting in Lanhe River Basin of Shanxi Province based on LSTM algorithm[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2025, 35(8): 73-76. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2024463
    Citation: WANG Xudong, ZHOU Quanbao, ZHANG Huiru, CHENG Binbin. Research on error correction of flood forecasting in Lanhe River Basin of Shanxi Province based on LSTM algorithm[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2025, 35(8): 73-76. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2024463

    基于LSTM算法的山西省岚河流域洪水预报误差校正研究

    Research on error correction of flood forecasting in Lanhe River Basin of Shanxi Province based on LSTM algorithm

    • 摘要: 在改进新安江水文预报模型的基础上,利用预报值与实测值之间的误差,构建了基于长短期记忆网络(Long Short-Term Memory,LSTM)洪水预报误差校正模型。以山西省岚河流域50场代表性洪水为研究对象,对改进新安江模型预报结果进行了实时校正。研究结果表明:基于LSTM算法的预报误差校正模型可以较好地提高岚河流域的洪水预报精度,可为当地防洪减灾和水资源管理提供一定的技术支持。

       

      Abstract: On the basis of improving the Xin′anjiang Hydrological Forecasting Model, an error correction model for flood forecasting based on the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network was constructed by using the error between the forecasted value and the measured value. Taking 50 representative floods in the Lanhe River Basin of Shanxi Province as the research object, and the forecast results of the improved Xin′anjiang Model were corrected in real time. The research results indicate that the forecast error correction model based on the LSTM algorithm can effectively improve the accuracy of flood forecasting in the Lanhe River Basin, providing valuable technical support for local flood prevention, disaster mitigation, and water resource management.

       

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