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    2021年漳河流域秋汛洪水还原及上游水库群联合调度成效分析

    Analysis of the restoration of autumn floods and the joint scheduling effect of the reservoir groups of Zhanghe River Basin in 2021

    • 摘要: 在2021年漳河流域历史罕见秋汛应对过程中,上游水库群联合调度大大减轻了下游防洪压力。通过分析漳河上游主要控制水文站监测资料及水库群调度运用资料,采用新安江模型、马斯京根法等对漳河洪水进行了还原,确定了主要控制站的洪水重现期,分析了漳河上游水库群联合调度成效。结果表明,浊漳河石梁站、清漳河匡门口站、漳河岳城水库站洪峰流量重现期均为5 a左右,最大5 d洪量、最大15 d洪量重现期均为10 a左右;漳河上游水库群联合调度成效显著,岳城水库入库洪峰流量、最大5 d洪量和最大15 d洪量削减率分别为21%、13%和9%,最高水位由154.13 m减小至152.30 m,极大降低了水库大坝拦洪风险,库区淹没人口减少2000余人,淹没房屋减少5.65万m2,淹没耕地减少约466.7 hm2,淹没经济损失减少1.47亿元。

       

      Abstract: During the rare autumn flood response process in the Zhanghe River Basin in 2021, the joint scheduling of upstream reservoir groups greatly reduced the pressure on downstream flood control. By analyzing the monitoring data of the main control hydrological stations and the scheduling of the reservoir group in the upper reaches of the Zhanghe River, the Xin'anjiang model and Masjingen method were used to restore the flood of the Zhanghe River, determine the flood recurrence period of the main control stations, and analyze the effectiveness of the joint scheduling of the reservoir group in the upper reaches of the Zhanghe River. The results show that the peak flow recurrence periods of Shiliang Station in Zhuozhang River, Kuangmenkou Station in Qingzhang River, and Yuecheng Reservoir Station in Zhanghe River are all around 5 years, and the maximum 5-day and 15-day flood recurrence periods are both around 10 years; The joint scheduling of reservoirs in the upper reaches of the Zhanghe River has achieved significant results. The peak discharge, maximum 5-day discharge, and maximum 15-day discharge of the Yuecheng Reservoir have been reduced by 21%, 13%, and 9%, respectively. The highest water level has been reduced from 154.13 m to 152.30 m, greatly reducing the risk of flood control by the reservoir dam. The number of people submerged in the reservoir area has decreased by more than 2 000, the number of houses submerged has decreased by 56 500 m2, the amount of farmland submerged has decreased by about 466.7 hm2, and the economic losses caused by flooding have decreased by 147 million yuan.

       

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