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    罗菊英,尹华健,汪川乂. 鄂西南山区局地特大暴雨成因分析——以2023年7月4日降水过程为例[J]. 中国防汛抗旱,2025,35(8):39−48. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2024259
    引用本文: 罗菊英,尹华健,汪川乂. 鄂西南山区局地特大暴雨成因分析——以2023年7月4日降水过程为例[J]. 中国防汛抗旱,2025,35(8):39−48. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2024259
    LUO Juying,YIN Huajian,WANG Chuanyi.Analysis on the causes of local extremely heavy rainstorm in the mountainous areas of Southwest Hubei Province — Taking the precipitation process on July 4, 2023 as an example[J].China Flood & Drought Management,2025,35(8):39−48. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2024259
    Citation: LUO Juying,YIN Huajian,WANG Chuanyi.Analysis on the causes of local extremely heavy rainstorm in the mountainous areas of Southwest Hubei Province — Taking the precipitation process on July 4, 2023 as an example[J].China Flood & Drought Management,2025,35(8):39−48. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2024259

    鄂西南山区局地特大暴雨成因分析以2023年7月4日降水过程为例

    Analysis on the causes of local extremely heavy rainstorm in the mountainous areas of Southwest Hubei Province — Taking the precipitation process on July 4, 2023 as an example

    • 摘要: 2023年7月4日,湖北恩施土家苗族自治州(以下简称恩施州)北部出现了极端暴雨过程,建始县北和巴东县北出现区域性大暴雨,其中建始长梁乡出现小时雨强116.8 mm、短短5 h累计降雨量达320 mm的特大暴雨,导致局地严重受灾。利用常规高空、地面实况监测资料,结合卫星、多普勒天气雷达,以及高分辨率欧洲气象中心(ECMWF)再分析资料,分析该过程天气形势背景、中尺度环境,以及暴雨中尺度对流系统发生发展过程及其机理,揭示极端暴雨成因。结果表明:①中高纬度“两槽一脊”、西风带降水系统发展、低纬度副热带高压稳定且位置适中,是强降水形成的有利大环流背景;②西南涡发展导致涡前西南暖湿气流加强,促进了地面锋生,加上鄂西南地形辐合抬升作用,形成了中尺度低涡切变强辐合,是导致局地极端暴雨产生的重要原因;③中尺度环境条件表现出了高能、强上升运动、高降水率等较极端特征,对激发中尺度对流性暴雨起到了重要作用;④恩施州北部出现后向传播型中尺度对流系统,而“倒喇叭口”地形导致雷暴冷池逆流,并与环境风之间形成稳定的中尺度辐合上升运动,使得降水高度集中,这是导致极端暴雨形成的关键因素。

       

      Abstract: On July 4, 2023, an extreme rainstorm process occured in the north of Enshi Tujia and Miao Autonomous Prefecture (hereinafter referred to as Enshi Prefecture) in Hubei Province. A regional heavy rainstorm occured in the north of Jianshi County and Badong County. Among them, an extremely heavy rainstorm with an hourly rainfall intensity of 116.8 mm and an accumulated rainfall of 320 mm in just 5 hours occured in Changliang Township of Jianshi County, causing serious disaster in the local area. By using the conventional high altitude and ground live monitoring data, combined with satellite, Doppler weather radar, and the reanalysis data of the European High Resolution Meteorological Center (ECMWF), the weather situation background, mesoscale environment, and the occurrence and development process and mechanism of rainstorm mesoscale convection system in this process are analyzed to reveal the cause of extreme rainstorm. The results indicate that: ① The "two troughs and one ridge" in mid to high latitudes, the development of precipitation systems in the westerly belt, and the stability and moderate location of subtropical high pressure in low latitudes are favorable large circulation backgrounds for the formation of heavy precipitation; ② The development of the southwest vortex led to the strengthening of the warm and humid air flow in the southwest before the vortex, which promoted the surface frontogenesis. In addition, the convergence and uplift of the terrain in Southwest Hubei Province formed the strong convergence of the mesoscale vortex shear, which is an important reason for the local extreme rainstorm; ③ The mesoscale environmental conditions show more extreme characteristics, such as high energy, strong upward movement, high precipitation rate, etc., which play an important role in stimulating the mesoscale convective rainstorm; ④ In the north of Enshi Prefecture, the influence of a backward propagating mesoscale convective system appears, while the "inverted bell mouth" topography leads to the countercurrent of the thunderstorm cold pool, and forms a stable mesoscale convergence upward movement with the environmental wind, which makes the precipitation highly concentrated, which is the key factor leading to the formation of extreme rainstorm.

       

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