Abstract: In practical business, due to the game relationship between the consistency of decision-making meteorological services and the uncertainty of weather forecasting, decision-making meteorological services often fall into the dilemma of whether to follow the adjustment of forecasts. Afforded by mature research in social sciences, this study finds two theories to support the service strategies in the above dilemma: ①Epistemic blindspots theory points out that decisionmaking on meteorological services should pay more attention to service strategies, that is, choose whether to follow the forecast adjustment from the perspective of service effectiveness, and be cautious when lowering the warning level in high-level defense situations. ②The theory of naturalistic decision-making points out that decision-making meteorological services should be centered around strategy matching, following the approach of "early planning, scenario adaptation, and update matching scheme", which helps to maximize the benefits of meteorological disaster prevention and reduction. Specifically, key information required for decision-making can be obtained through demand surveys and replaying summaries. Based on the above information, standardization construction can be carried out to develop different matching plans for decision-making meteorological services, forming a "decision-making experience base"; At the same time, fully consider the needs and expectations of meteorological disaster prevention and reduction, and dynamically adjust the decision-making service plan to adapt to changes in demand.