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    太湖流域1961—2015年降水趋势分析

    Analysis of annual precipitation trend in Taihu Lake Basin from 1961 to 2015

    • 摘要: 选用太湖流域1961-2015年106个雨量站的逐日降水量资料,利用Mann-Kendall趋势检验法分析流域及其7个水利分区的降水变化趋势,利用有序聚类法研究降水的突变时间。研究结果表明,太湖流域及各分区降水指标均呈上升趋势,且东部地区上升趋势更为明显;流域及其分区降水突变时段范围基本一致。

       

      Abstract: Based on the daily precipitation data of 106 rainfall stations in Taihu Basin from 1961 to 2015, MannKendall trend test method is used to analysis trend of annual precipitation in the Basin and its 7 water conservancy districts, and sequential clustering method is used to study the time mutation of precipitation. The results show that the precipitation indicators in the Taihu Lake Basin and its sub-regions are on the rise, and the rising trend is more obvious in the eastern part of the basin, and the time mutation range of precipitation in the basin and its subregions is basically the same.

       

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